Week 6!, pick 'em Options

[jonathan83]

(just major games plus Big12 games)
Thursday
#8 Kentucky at #11 South Carolina

Saturday
#5 Wisconsin at Illinois - I'm gonna gamble and call the upset
Kansas at #24 Kansas State
#10 Oklahoma at #19 Texas - OU by a lot
#12 Georgia at Tennessee - Another upset
#15 Virginia Tech at #22 Clemson -
Colorado at Baylor - I think they can do it
Iowa State at Texas Tech - duh
Oklahoma State at Texas A&M -
#9 Florida at #1 LSU - If Florida would'nt have lost last week, this would be different.
#25 Nebraska at #17 Missouri -

[blaarg]

can someone tell me how Kentucky got ranked #8?!?
I mean who did they beat to get there, like Louisville barely right?

[Oasis]

can someone tell me how Kentucky got ranked #8?!?
I mean who did they beat to get there, like Louisville barely right?

1. They have the best quarterback in the country

2. They've gone 5-0 in the SEC while other teams previously ranked higher than them have lost.

[Aaron]

1. They have the best quarterback in the country

2. They've gone 5-0 in the SEC while other teams previously ranked higher than them have lost.

1. That's extremely debatable, especially after tonight's performance.

2. They weren't 5-0 in the SEC, they were 1-0 in conference play prior to tonight. Additionally, Kentucky hadn't played ANYONE ranked in the top 50 or 60 in total defense. They put up nice numbers against teams that are very bad defensively. Tonight they ran up against a top 30 defense and were exposed.

Anyways...

I'm 2-1 on the week so far... won two units on Rice +21, three units on South Carolina -4, lost one unit on Marshall to win against Memphis.. up 16 units (~40%) on the year, winning percentage is 55%.

I have two more plays locked in for this weekend but will probably be adding more tomorrow:

USC -39 vs. Stanford - Look back a couple of weeks ago when USC was preparing to face Nebraska. Remember what happened the week before the game? LSU picked up a bunch of first place votes in the polls after they manhandled Virginia Tech. What happened during the game? The Huskers got slaughtered. This week, the Bayou Bengals actually jumped the Trojans in the polls... imagine what they'll do to hapless Stanford at home. It's a lot of points, but I think the Trojans will try to send a message here.

Wisconsin ML at Illinois - I think there are two effects at work here: Illini’s win over Penn State is being overvalued while the Badgers’ close win over Michigan State is being undervalued. Let’s not forget, Penn State was in the game until the very end and probably would have won if dumbass Anthony Morelli hadn’t turned the ball over four times (three picks, a fumble) on their last four drives.

I haven't played these games but I'm leaning towards them:

Iowa State +25.5 at Texas Tech – I just don’t see how Tech can cover this many points against an Iowa State team that appears to have a fairly decent defense and an offense that can milk the clock (they ran over 100 plays last weekend against Nebraska). I could see this being a 42-20 kind of game, but aside from Baylor, Tech has only beaten three Big 12 teams in the last three years by more than 25 points (A&M ‘05, Kansas State ’05, Nebraska ’04).

UCLA -20.5 vs. Notre Dame – Why should I even write anything? It's Notre Dame... I might just fade them like I did Temple last year.

Others that I'm looking at based on suggestions from a buddy:
Ball State -13.5 vs. Central Michigan
Ohio -5.5 vs. Buffalo
Arizona +4.5 at Oregon State
Tulsa -3.5 at UTEP