 Parallels between Dow and Japan |
| Parallels between Dow and Japan |
 Mar 6 2009, 12:43 PM
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#1
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 Group: Members Posts: 2,329 Joined: 20-June 07 Member No.: 1,243  |
People are saying the Dow will drop to around $4k...I disagree, I actually think it will dip below $3500 and won't recover. Things always turn around, but not this time IMO
Look at Japan, they hit $39k in 1989...they're still waiting for a recovery. Think it's at $7k now What caused that meltdown? A real estate collapse and banks holding a mountain of bad debt. Sound familiar? --------------------   |
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May 17 2009, 08:34 PM
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#2
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 Group: Members Posts: 10,620 Joined: 23-February 06 From: Houston, TX Member No.: 48 |
It's not a cyclical anything... these "gains" are not really gains they're just recovery. This recession was due to the credit meltdown, so it wasn't something that's on some cycle that you can go back and find a pattern for. Just like the Sept 11th recession.
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May 17 2009, 08:52 PM
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#3
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 Group: Members Posts: 706 Joined: 22-February 06 From: Lubbock, TX Member No.: 20 |
QUOTE (impala454 @ May 17 2009, 08:34 PM)  It's not a cyclical anything... these "gains" are not really gains they're just recovery. This recession was due to the credit meltdown, so it wasn't something that's on some cycle that you can go back and find a pattern for. Just like the Sept 11th recession. On September 29th, 2008: Dow fell 778 points, 17th worst percentage drop. Nasdaq had the worst percentage drop since the tech bubble burst in 2000. S&P500 had the 2nd worst percentage drop ever. The last time the Dow staged a comparable drop was on Sept. 17, 2001, when it plunged 684(6.9%) points after the 9/11 attacks. It would ultimately bottom 10 months later, after dropping an incremental 15.5%. Looking at the Nasdaq, it last staged a comparable plunge on April 14, 2000, as the Internet bubble finally burst. It would ultimately bottom 30 months later, after dropping an incremental 66%. -------------------- Beers that I have had, updated July 5th, 2009: 1,548
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Oasis Parallels between Dow and Japan Mar 6 2009, 12:43 PM
impala454 I think by the end of the year it will start recov... Mar 6 2009, 02:08 PM nickluto You know that the dow jones industrial average isn... Mar 23 2009, 06:00 PM Mommy That's why you don't work on Wall Street. ... Mar 23 2009, 08:07 PM Mommy Bar graph of the last 10 days... Shows a small rec... Mar 23 2009, 08:10 PM dauss QUOTE (Oasis @ Mar 6 2009, 12:43 PM) What... Mar 24 2009, 03:23 PM Mommy Do none of you realize that we are going through a... Mar 24 2009, 03:45 PM
pysex QUOTE (Mommy @ Mar 24 2009, 04:45 PM) Do ... Apr 3 2009, 08:24 PM jwttu so will are you still predicting the drop to 3500? Apr 2 2009, 08:51 PM woody it'll drop again in about 3-4 months Apr 2 2009, 09:11 PM impala454 What makes you think so? Apr 2 2009, 10:59 PM dauss QUOTE (impala454 @ Apr 2 2009, 10:59 PM) ... May 15 2009, 01:38 PM impala454 QUOTE (dauss @ May 15 2009, 02:38 PM) Wit... May 29 2009, 03:50 PM dauss I think it will touch below 6000. Apr 3 2009, 04:54 PM impala454 Eh I think you guys are taking the media hype on t... May 15 2009, 03:12 PM dauss QUOTE (impala454 @ May 15 2009, 03:12 PM)... May 15 2009, 04:46 PM Mommy QUOTE (dauss @ May 15 2009, 04:46 PM) The... May 17 2009, 03:39 PM impala454 QUOTE (dauss @ May 15 2009, 05:46 PM) The... May 17 2009, 04:39 PM dauss QUOTE (impala454 @ May 17 2009, 04:39 PM)... May 17 2009, 08:23 PM dauss QUOTE (dauss @ May 17 2009, 08:23 PM) I b... Jun 3 2009, 03:44 PM impala454 Your point being? May 17 2009, 08:54 PM chook QUOTE (impala454 @ May 17 2009, 09:54 PM)... May 17 2009, 11:54 PM impala454 Well of course it will, but I don't see that a... May 18 2009, 07:37 AM Mommy I think a lack of confidence might drive the Dow d... May 18 2009, 08:30 AM |
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